Perhaps you’ve
read the relentless and false recitation of an assertion that the Wall Street Journal, American Enterprise
Institute and others have treated as the gospel truth: that incumbent carriers
such as Verizon and AT&T have substantially reduced capital expenditures
this year solely because of the FCC’s Open Internet Order.
It strikes
me that there has not been enough pushback against the bogus notion that would
not pass muster with peer review. First,
one can detect a reduction in capex if and only if the definition of capital investment
is limited only to transmission facilities.
Only with a narrow and ludicrous definition can one find a reduction of any sort.
Using a widely accepted definition, incumbent carriers have continue to make
sizable investments, this year particularly through mergers and acquisitions.
Just now
there is speculation that Verizon might acquire portions of Yahoo’s assets. Why would Verizon waste billions of dollars
on content, if it thought that regulation and/or regulatory uncertainty would
somehow prevent it from profitably delivering the content?
The capex false
claim becomes down right fraudulent when experts, who ought to know better,
attribute their calculation of reduced capex, as solely caused by a single
regulatory event. So help me out here:
how did they narrow 100% of causality to a single regulatory event? How did they eliminate other variables such as
the possibility that this particular year did not require a major upgrade in wireline
or wireless broadband plant? How did
they managed to ignore the billions invested in companies whose business plan
assumes ample ways to deliver product to paying subscribers?
As the
hearing about the FCC’s Open Internet Order begins, I hope the court applies
the rule of law and not advocacy masquerading as statistics. I have major
problems with the FCC’s tactics and strategies, but I hope empiricism matters more
than a clever and deceitful “outreach campaign.”